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QSO 520Module EightHomework Questions

  1. (P10-46) A plant engineering group needs to set up an assembly line to produce a new product. The following table describes the relationships between the activities that need to be completed for this product to be manufactured:
  Activity Days Immediate Predecessors
a m b
A 3 6 8  
B 5 8 10 A
C 5 6 8 A
D 1 2 4 B, C
E 7 11 17 D
F 7 9 12 D
G 6 8 9 D
H 3 4 7 F, G
I 3 5 7 E, F, H

Assume that each activity time is normally distributed with expected time and standard deviation computed as shown in equations 7-6 and 7-8, respectively, on page 283. Round off all activity times to two decimal places.

  1. Use a Monte Carlo simulation to determine the probability that the project will finish in 37 days or less.
  • Use a Monte Carlo simulation to determine the probability that the project will take more than 32 days.
 
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